Texas
11:55 am
Mon July 18, 2011

Chance of Tropical Rain Looks Slim

In case you haven't noticed, it is hot, hot, hot outside and Central Texas is in need of some showers. Late July and early August are normally the driest and hottest parts of the summer, so the chance of rain is slim.

Unlike droughts in the past, this drought is covering most of the state, according to Bob Rose, chief meteorologist for the LCRA. Although this drought is still short term, the intensity rivals prior record-holding droughts.

This week isn't promising much relief.

"Over the next couple of days, in other words Tuesday through Wednesday, we're going to see some little weak waves of low pressure move across the area from the east and these could produce a few scattered showers with rainfall amounts of maybe a quarter inch," he said.

"But again, the chance of rain in any given location is still only 20 percent. This isn't really a high chance for rain. Clouds associated with these weak disturbances might keep our high temperatures a little lower," Rose said.

Rose says there's a chance of this pattern working its way into the La Niña weather pattern. There's no consensus yet, but some of the more trustworthy weather models are saying that is a definite possibility. La Niña patterns create drier than normal conditions. If La Niña continues this drought will likely last until 2012.